Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.046609 0.050787 0.055031 0.059656 0.064548 0.069561 0.075080
2024-12-15 0.039034 0.045028 0.051350 0.058490 0.066301 0.074560 0.083925
2024-12-22 0.035082 0.042548 0.050688 0.060158 0.070808 0.082353 0.095752
2024-12-29 0.031403 0.039923 0.049498 0.060940 0.074126 0.088733 0.106024
2025-01-05 0.028345 0.037662 0.048432 0.061618 0.077146 0.094674 0.115776
2025-01-12 0.025158 0.034932 0.046546 0.061103 0.078597 0.098693 0.123263
2025-01-19 0.023155 0.033443 0.045973 0.061999 0.081598 0.104444 0.132737
2025-01-26 0.020779 0.031274 0.044381 0.061495 0.082789 0.107973 0.139552
2025-02-02 0.019058 0.029799 0.043529 0.061791 0.084865 0.112501 0.147530
2025-02-09 0.017898 0.028969 0.043415 0.062945 0.087953 0.118231 0.156963
2025-02-16 0.017408 0.029001 0.044391 0.065474 0.092765 0.126095 0.169044
2025-02-23 0.015219 0.026488 0.041839 0.063285 0.091486 0.126362 0.171774
2025-03-02 0.013717 0.024883 0.040463 0.062624 0.092181 0.129145 0.177725
2025-03-09 0.012448 0.023525 0.039348 0.062248 0.093204 0.132328 0.184191
2025-03-16 0.012086 0.023520 0.040126 0.064452 0.097644 0.139895 0.196233
2025-03-23 0.011419 0.022985 0.040105 0.065528 0.100578 0.145552 0.205909
2025-03-30 0.010743 0.022384 0.039946 0.066380 0.103200 0.150816 0.215120
2025-04-06 0.009776 0.021225 0.038894 0.065912 0.103992 0.153680 0.221263
2025-04-13 0.009254 0.020772 0.038873 0.066899 0.106764 0.159142 0.230777
2025-04-20 0.008419 0.019709 0.037857 0.066389 0.107433 0.161811 0.236677
2025-04-27 0.007840 0.019051 0.037431 0.066713 0.109242 0.165989 0.244551
2025-05-04 0.007498 0.018795 0.037621 0.067938 0.112311 0.171858 0.254664
2025-05-11 0.007475 0.019130 0.038765 0.070610 0.117457 0.180556 0.268556